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$1.25 Trillion MBS Fed purchases
- Bond Prices: Rise as yields drop WSJ
- Fed purchase plan US Treasuries: Goal is $300 billion, spent $156 billion WSJ
- Mortgage Back Securities purchases: Goal is $1.25 trillion, spent $555 billion
- Objective: Keep inflation moderate and reduce US treasury rates Short term duration
- 10 US Treasury change: In 2009, US Treasures rose from 2.5% to 3.86%
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Inflation
Inflation is general increase in good and services over a period of time. Inflation is typically measured by the consumer price index and the producer price index. A persistent decline in the purchasing power of money can also be considered inflation.Government Debt causes inflation. War debt causes inflation. Inflation is 100 percent correlated with commodity prices. The commodity price index climbed slightly about 100 and signal inflation is slightly climbing.
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Fast Facts:
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the change in the cost of a fixed basket of goods
- The basket of goods includes housing costs, electricity, food and transportation
- The CPI is compiled by Bureau of Labor Statistics
- CPI base year: 1982
- CPI base: 100
- 2007 average CPI: 207.342, which means that since 1982 there has been 107.342% inflation
- Producer Price Index (PPI) is a measure of wholesale price levels in the economy
Rate of inflation:
The average since 1950 has been 3.75%. $2500 in 1950 dollars would have inflated to 21,978.82. In other words, if no inflation had occurred, I could buy a car for $2,500 dollars today.
Affects of Inflation: Inflation dilutes the money supply as the government prints money. Inflation causes interest rates and taxes to climb.
Manufacturing capacity is current at 70 percent.
The dollar is weakening against the Euro and Yen.
Deflation fears are receding
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Formula for Calculating Inflation
Using the CPI: Assume a basket of goods cost a total of $100 in, say, 2005. If that exact basket of goods cost $150 today, we would subtract todays cost by the year at which we are comparing (2005). Thus, prices would be inflated by 50 points. This number is represented, typically, as a percentage. So, in the example above there is a 50% inflation rate. -
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Inflation Questions
Should a person live in a small city verses a large city when inflation is rising? 1 AnswerGeography matters! If you have the room & climate for a garden or room to raise chickens you may be able to avoid some of the sting of spiralling food cost... read more
Will inflation rise in 2009? 1 AnswerRight now we run as much risk of deflation as inflation. People are losing their jobs, which means they have to reduce spending, which means there is less deman... read more
Does the bond market shows low inflation expectations? 2 AnswersBond prices reflect future inflation expectations. Yields move in the opposite direction of prices, so as bond prices increase, yields drop. Recently, the Fede... read more
How does foreign currency being spent in the US market place cause inflation? 1 AnswerForeign currency SPENT in US market place such as from tourists does not cause inflation. I think you meant to ask how attracting foreign funds to buy US debt... read more -