The housing bubble refers to the increase in housing prices relative to interest rates and personal incomes. Once real estate values reach inflated levels, as compared to personal income, the bubble can collapse, resulting in a marked increase in loan defaults
Key Ratios
- Price to Income Ratio = Price of Real Estate / Household Income
- The price to income ratio takes into account the affordability of real estate relative to income. It is a primary measure used by lenders to gauge the ability to sufficiently pay down a loan.
- Median Multiple = Median House Price / Median Annual Household Income
- An economic indicator as to whether housing prices are misaligned with the income of a given area. Historically at around 3.0, periods during housing bubbles have seen numbers in excess of 6.0.
- Loan to value = Dollar Amount of the Loan / Appraised Value of the Real Estate
- A measure used by lenders to assess the risk of a loan. The higher the percentage the more risky a loan. For example, a if a borrower wants a loand of $200,000 on a property worth $250,000 the loan to value (or LTV) is 80%.
Housing Bubble News Stories
BusinessWeek: Housing: Is the Slowdown Slowing Down? (August 26, 2008)
Forbes.com: US November New Home Sales Plunge 9 Pct To ... (December 28, 2007)
The Washington Times: Blame abounds for housing bust (December 26, 2007)
Reuters: Home prices post record annual drop (December 26, 2007)
CNNMoney: Fed tightens up lending rules (December 18, 2007)
USATODAY.com: Foreclosure Proceedings Set Record (September 7, 2007)
- WSJ.com: Unraveling the Subprime Mess (September 4, 2007)
USAToday.com: Federal Housing Administration to help refi at-risk loans (August 31, 2007)
Patrick.net: Housing Crash Continues, Bubble Pops
Central Figures
- HUD
- Official Sites: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and Alphonso Jackson
- The Federal Reserve
- Official Sites: FederalReserve.gov and Chairman Ben S. Bernanke