Worst case scenario if the submarine collision set off a nuclear explosion?
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M$3 Answers
Probably it would actually be a worse case scenario if, as expected, the missiles did not explode but the subs were destroyed. Then the warheads would remain, possibly being recovered by who knows whom at some future date.
While no nuclear explosions on earth are good, the bottom of the middle of the ocean is probably the best place for one to happen.
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M$The worst thing that could likely occur from these submarines colliding would be the release of radioactive material from the warheads being damaged. Depending on the quantity of the release and the currents, it could devastate huge areas of ocean.
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M$In order to trigger a nuclear explosion, the fissionable material (e.g. plutonium) in the warhead would need to be compressed very fast and very symmetrically into a critical mass. That can't really happen by accident. It is the kind of thing that scientists had to spend years working out how to make happen. All the pieces have to be in place just so, and I believe they make sure that does not happen unless they are ordered to be ready to launch.
The other kind of warhead, H-bombs, are even harder to set off and need the extreme temperatures of a "regular" atom bomb to trigger.
Even the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmamanent (CND) is not suggesting the risk of an explosion was a worry. Their worry is radiation leaks, and warheads going astray:
CND chair Kate Hudson said: "The collision of two submarines, both with nuclear reactors and nuclear weapons onboard, could have released vast amounts of radiation and scattered scores of nuclear warheads across the seabed."
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/7892294.stm
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M$