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1 year, 3 months ago

Will the United States military intervene in the current events taking place in Libya?

The USS Ponce and the USS Kearsarge, assault ships that typically carry Marines, cleared the Suez Canal from the Red Sea and entered the Mediterranean today.
The USS Enterprise is poised in the Red Sea.
This is a very sizable force with a vast military capability.
If the deployment of such an armada off the coast of Libya is simply a show of force then how can the US government, with its out of control and out of money spending justify such a move?

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etolobanov | 1 year, 2 months ago
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It's unlikely that the US will intervene. Instead, the European Union may take an initiative.

Why do I think so?

Most of the time a nation only intervenes in the 'internal affairs' of another country when it feels it has something to lose from standing by. European countries and the United States are no exception.

What will be the impact on the United States were a civil war to ensue in Libya?

Less than one percent of its oil exports will be affected. Libyian oil consitute only 0.5 per cent of the total oil imports of the United States. (Source: Page F30)

According to a recent article on the website of Welt Online: 85 per cent Libyan oil lands in Europe. In contrast, Libya is not even amongst the top 14 oil exporters to the United States. (US Information Energy Information; Feb 2011)

Therefore, if the things take a turn for worse, it will be the European nations who will be panicky, and more ready for intervention, and not the United States.

What is the USS Enterprise doing in the Red Sea then?

My belief is that the European nations, instead of taking a unilateral action, will raise the matter in the Security Council. The aircraft career is in the Mediterranean because:

1. The presence of armada near the Libyan coast will act as an excellent deterrent to the Libyan "dictator" and force him to think twice before using excessive force on his fellow countrymen

It worked in 1971 when the USS Enterprise was sent to the Bay of Bengal to aid Pakistan. The mere presence of the aircraft carrier was so threatening to the Indian establishment that the then Indian prime minister, Indira Gandhi, quickly signed a "Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation" with the Soviet Union. The treaty guaranteed that the USSR would intevene if the United States declared war on India.

2. The US wants to be ready for action should the Security Council were to pass a resolution in favor of intervention.

Sources:

1. Page F30: Which countries import the most oil from Libya?
2. Die Welt: Spanien verschärft Tempolimit wegen Ölkrise; 2011-Feb-27

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albanian | 1 year, 2 months ago Report

Oil is a fungible resource. That means it doesn't really matter where you get it, it's all interchangeable. The only thing that matters is the total amount produced. So when the oil market in Europe is affected, so is the market in the US and Asia.

If the European Union or Nato acts the USA will be a major part of whatever force is used, as it has the equipment. Interestingly I have noted, so far, British, German, Italian, and Dutch naval ships being mentioned off Libya already.Remarkably, a Chinese navy ship was on the way last week (it had been patrolling for pirates nearby) and India is sending a small flotilla as well. This could be a world wide effort if the Libyan revolutionaries can't finish the job themselves.

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johnee99 | 1 year, 2 months ago
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We are already intervening. Our special forces are definitely on the ground helping the rebels.

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ramag | 1 year, 2 months ago
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The U. S. Army Training in charge, Gen. Martin Dempsey revealed that due to troop deployment in Iraq and Afghanistan, American has lost thousands of uniformed trainers and they are being replaced by junior officers, and around 500 pilots are awaiting initial instruction due to lack of trainers. Now you can imagine about what another deployment would cost to the U. S. Army.

When will US wake up and start refraining itself from interfering almost in every nook and corner of the world. Thousands of its soldiers have lost their lives in Iraq and Afghanistan. How much more lives are yet to be lost?

America has been criticized for its policy of exporting democracy to justify its military interventions in other parts of the world. Some even say that the policy has proved to be counterproductive in some places. On one hand, it stops funding Space Shuttle Program while on the other side it provides military aid wherever needed. The US defense budget is 43% of the worlds total budget.

With the increasing inflation rate, unemployment and increasing need being felt for health care reforms, America should limit its expenses and only concentrate its intervention where it is directly affecting the U.S. or its people.

sources:
1. http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2010/03/03/89799/general-sounds-alarm-on-us-army.html#ixzz1FX1uj0xM
2. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_policy_of_the_United_States
3. Picture from: http://www.army.mil/yearinphotos/2010/
images:

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albanian's Avatar
albanian | 1 year, 2 months ago Report

This answer has no relevance to Libya, which is very important, and in fact does not even mention Libya.

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albanian | 1 year, 2 months ago
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It depends upon the how the revolution goes in Libya.

One thing seems clear, the USA will not interfere by itself. It will only move if all its allies agree. That means a UN security council approval plus NATO intervention.

The budget has nothing to do with it. It costs no more to have ships off Libya than chasing pirates of Somalia or sailing about training.

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