Where do you think Obama's poll numbers will be at the 100 day mark?
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M$2 Answers
My guess, however, is that by mid-2010, we will see start to see recovery.
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M$
Possible issues that might impact President Obama's approval rating:
1. The situation surrounding the presence of US forces in the Middle East
2. Whether the stimulus act actually has any effect
3. If the bank situation gets weirder
4. If there are any major gaffes by the President
5. If the Vice President avoids or not looking somewhat nutty
6. Any possible new conflicts militarily
7. The weather and if there are any severe events taking place that FEMA cannot instantly respond to
8. If the grass is green and the sky is blue
9. Simple chance
However those factors and more play out is how President Obama will be rated.
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M$
I doubt the situation in the Middle East, the stimulus, the bank situation, gaffes by the president or vice president, new military conflicts, or the weather will have much or any impact on the president's approval rating in the first 100 days. He's still in a honeymoon phase, and most people want to give him the benefit of the doubt. Unlike Rush Limbaugh, they want him to succeed. It's too soon for his administration to have had much of an impact on long-term policies, or for many of the stimulus checks to reach their intended recipients. The only crisis or disaster I can remember of a president in the first few months that impacted a president's approval ratings was JFK's "Bay of Pigs." Though it was a mistake on his part, his approval ratings actually went up in the short-term because he took responsibility forthrightly for the error. Only in the long-term did the Bay of Pigs fiasco mar the impression of Kennedy's competence in the early stages of his administration.
