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Does anyone play at the http://us.newsfutures.com/ prediction market? What's your strategy to make X$?
I mostly play the daily DOW will go up and the opposite DOW will go down. I try to buy an equal number of shares early at 47 or so, then once i've bought them all, sell them to myself at a total of 100. That earns me about 6 or 7% a day, but the risk is i'll buy the wrong side only at 47 and it will go to zero and i'll lose half my money in one day.
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