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23 new followers, unless you fish for followers which might make the number much higher :)
PS. I think $100 Mahalo is very motivating!
Source(s):
http://twitter.com/s7acker
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s7acker
ppalmer21
phlezk
If you are asking how many people will temporarily follow you in the hopes of getting the M$100 I predict less than 50.
btw: I am SSharon27 on twitter
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I'm going to venture my guess on that in fact a jump in followers will occur simply on the hope of receiving a reward whereas the actual that stick around will be very small.
Surge followers : 173
Staying followers : Less than 20
Mind you, I won't be following you on Twitter myself as I don't use the site. I have far too many "social networking" sites to worry about as is. :) Have fun with your experiment.
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following 22 follower 18 updates 65 it will grow more and more but it wont decrease
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Nit Pick 1: you wrote: "I should just add that no identifiers or personal information will be published..."
WTF is this page? http://twitter.com/s7acker/followers
the nature of following someone on twitter "publishes" one's "identifier." Obviously, I don't care, as I'm now following you.
Nit Pick 2: What number are you looking for? Your question asks "How many people will follow me on Twitter" Here are three reasonable interpretations: 1) total followers 2) new followers since you posted your question 3) new followers since you posted your question who answered this question.
Also, are you playing "Exact answer only" "Price is Right Rules closest without going over" or "closest?"
Anyhow, good luck with your experiment, and your book.
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from our Help section http://www.mahalo.com/answers/help
How are best answers selected?
The asker has three days from the time the question is asked to select a best answer by clicking the Select as Best Answer button next to the answer they choose. If the asker doesn't select a best answer within three days, the question moves to the undecided questions tab and the community votes for the best answer. At the end of the voting period, which lasts two days, the answer with the most votes is declared the best answer and receives the tip if a tip was offered. If there's a tie or no best answer has the most votes, the question is closed without a best answer and if a tip was offered the the tip is credited to the asker's account.
I think you will get 35 folks from here to follow you--most folks don't have a Twitter account.
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Answered Question
M$100
December 16, 2008 03:48 PM
How many people will follow me on Twitter (twitter.com/s7acker) when there's $100 Mahalo Dollars up for grabs?
This is a genuine piece of research for a book I've been commissioned to write. $100 Mahalo Dollars to the answerer closest to the correct number, who also follows me on Twitter between now and Midnight on Christmas Eve (Greenwich Mean Time)
I should just add that no identifiers or personal information will be published and my personal contact details are available to anyone who feels the need to ask.
I should just add that no identifiers or personal information will be published and my personal contact details are available to anyone who feels the need to ask.
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Best Answer Chosen by Asker
| December 17, 2008 02:13 AM |
PS. I think $100 Mahalo is very motivating!
Source(s):
http://twitter.com/s7acker
| Asker's Rating: |
• Exactly right - well done!
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s7acker
December 17, 2008 08:13 AM
I've implemented a 'No Fishing' rule!
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ppalmer21
December 18, 2008 07:21 PM
Holy Crap! Thanks :) Now I will follow you on Twitter!
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phlezk
December 20, 2008 05:33 AM
lucky you!
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Other Answers (40)
December 16, 2008 04:13 PM
It's part of a much larger set of experiments around modelling behaviour and social epidemiology. Not quite finding a cure for anything but, interesting to System Dynamics nerds like me!
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December 16, 2008 04:10 PM
I think the one person that gets the M$100 will follow you on twitter (at least for a while) and then everyone else will drop you since they aren't getting anything out of it. If you are asking how many people will temporarily follow you in the hopes of getting the M$100 I predict less than 50.
btw: I am SSharon27 on twitter
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December 16, 2008 04:11 PM
I suspect that you're right about the temporary jump in followers. That's pretty much what I'm expecting but I'll be running the numbers to model the increase/decrease over time.
I'm nowhere near interesting enough to expect people to stick around!
;-)
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I'm nowhere near interesting enough to expect people to stick around!
;-)
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December 16, 2008 04:23 PM
Judging by the immediate reaction to most of the responses above, they believe it's going to be a low number. Due to this, statistically the people who come afterward are going to use statistically low numbers (people love to choose the same answer, even if it's wrong), so we'll probably see a whole lot of "Oh, I don't see a whole lot of people doing this. My guess is xxx" and the number will be very low. Whereas the drive for monetary gain is much stronger than we give it credit for, so the actual response will be higher than initially expected, I would imagine. Although by stating these statistics I have in turn altered them. Yay me. :) I'm going to venture my guess on that in fact a jump in followers will occur simply on the hope of receiving a reward whereas the actual that stick around will be very small.
Surge followers : 173
Staying followers : Less than 20
Mind you, I won't be following you on Twitter myself as I don't use the site. I have far too many "social networking" sites to worry about as is. :) Have fun with your experiment.
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December 16, 2008 04:37 PM
:-) Maybe I should change the question to How many people will follow me on Twitter (twitter.com/s7acker) when there's $100 Mahalo Dollars up for grabs, despite the fact that I've given the game away about it being an experiment?
Hmmm...me and my big mouth!
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Hmmm...me and my big mouth!
December 16, 2008 04:43 PM
Heh heh. That you have, although the hopes of getting the answer right may indeed get you enough followers. The real culprit will be how long you decide to do the experiment and when you choose to "select the right answer". Most Mahalo questions that I've kept an eye on have closed within the first day. this would definitely put a damper on the potential of your experiment. :)
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December 16, 2008 04:45 PM
http://twitter.com/s7acker following 22 follower 18 updates 65 it will grow more and more but it wont decrease
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December 16, 2008 05:13 PM
300 new followers Nit Pick 1: you wrote: "I should just add that no identifiers or personal information will be published..."
WTF is this page? http://twitter.com/s7acker/followers
the nature of following someone on twitter "publishes" one's "identifier." Obviously, I don't care, as I'm now following you.
Nit Pick 2: What number are you looking for? Your question asks "How many people will follow me on Twitter" Here are three reasonable interpretations: 1) total followers 2) new followers since you posted your question 3) new followers since you posted your question who answered this question.
Also, are you playing "Exact answer only" "Price is Right Rules closest without going over" or "closest?"
Anyhow, good luck with your experiment, and your book.
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December 16, 2008 06:11 PM
Clarification 1: I meant published in the book.
Clarification 2: New followers since I posted the question.
Clarification 3: Closest.
and finally: Good points. Thanks!
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Clarification 2: New followers since I posted the question.
Clarification 3: Closest.
and finally: Good points. Thanks!
December 16, 2008 05:42 PM
One problem: questions on Mahalo are only open for three days! You won't be able to pay the person with this question! (i guess you could start another question or direct pay the person... yeah, direct question them down the road!) from our Help section http://www.mahalo.com/answers/help
How are best answers selected?
The asker has three days from the time the question is asked to select a best answer by clicking the Select as Best Answer button next to the answer they choose. If the asker doesn't select a best answer within three days, the question moves to the undecided questions tab and the community votes for the best answer. At the end of the voting period, which lasts two days, the answer with the most votes is declared the best answer and receives the tip if a tip was offered. If there's a tie or no best answer has the most votes, the question is closed without a best answer and if a tip was offered the the tip is credited to the asker's account.
I think you will get 35 folks from here to follow you--most folks don't have a Twitter account.
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December 16, 2008 06:06 PM
Thanks Jason - I realised my error just as the 'edit window' clicked past 60 minutes!
I'll select the answer that guesses closest to the number of followers, one hour before the 3 day period expires. If there's more than one correct answer, I'll divide the $ equally among the correct answerers. I think it's pretty clear that this was very much a spur of the moment exercise, rather than a well thought out plan!
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I'll select the answer that guesses closest to the number of followers, one hour before the 3 day period expires. If there's more than one correct answer, I'll divide the $ equally among the correct answerers. I think it's pretty clear that this was very much a spur of the moment exercise, rather than a well thought out plan!
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December 16, 2008 06:13 PM
I hope not - I'm a social inadequate and couldn't handle the pressure! Also, 9,997 of them would unfollow me immediately after the question closes anyway. Phew!
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December 17, 2008 06:42 PM
I'm counting on it - I have enough to do without feeling responsible for keeping a bunch of total strangers informed about what tedious errand I'll be running for the next 20 minutes!
;-)
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;-)
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