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Absolutely, but then again I also expect television, movies and books to all be similarly "obsolete" someday soon. By that I strictly mean "in their current form." If we take it as proven that technological advancement continues to make things smaller, cheaper, then we can envision a day when something like a Kindle is so ubiquitous that there's no reason not to have one - much like cell phones are today.
Just because it hasn't happened yet (as I hear all the "there's nothing like the feel of a real paper book" people scream), doesn't mean it won't - it simply means we haven't had the right cultural circumstances yet. Remember that every new generation grows up accepting as common things that the previous generation thought were advancements. Look at the net. I remember having to dial up my computer over a 300 baud modem, and people older than me will remember it worse than that...but my kids will have no concept of what "computer without a net connection" means. Likewise I see a day when kids will know of a gadget that allows you to read personalized newsfeeds from all around the world, and scratch their head in wonder about why you would want to limit yourself to one static version like Grandma and Grandpa did.
The same can be said of television - I'm meeting more "kids" these days (and by that I mean 20 somethings, ya young whippersnappers) who don't bother to own a TV, they just get all their programming online. And movies -- I don't know how it is near you, but one of the theatres in my town just closed up for lack of business. With high def and on demand and 50+inch screens at home it's too easy now to just wait for the movie to come to you.
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Although I'm a computer geek I actually got my degree in the "Sociology of Technology". So, you know, exactly stuff like this. :)
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On a more serious note, we lack data to state that people have stopped subscribing to newspapers because they can read it online. Touch and feel??
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albanian
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On the other hand there is good news for newspaper lovers too. There is a growing niche for quality national level newspapers. The New York Times, for instance, is increasing circulation as it is sold more widely around the country. Perhaps the internet is making people more aware of news in general beyond their locality and more interested in such papers. Another successful niche is the free, local weekly. Sponsored by local ad's and with a low budget to simply report on local events and entertainment, these papers have a bright future because people can't resist picking up something for free. Don't expect much real reporting from them though.
Source(s):
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/05/02/AR200505020...
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| February 02, 2009 01:38 PM |
Just because it hasn't happened yet (as I hear all the "there's nothing like the feel of a real paper book" people scream), doesn't mean it won't - it simply means we haven't had the right cultural circumstances yet. Remember that every new generation grows up accepting as common things that the previous generation thought were advancements. Look at the net. I remember having to dial up my computer over a 300 baud modem, and people older than me will remember it worse than that...but my kids will have no concept of what "computer without a net connection" means. Likewise I see a day when kids will know of a gadget that allows you to read personalized newsfeeds from all around the world, and scratch their head in wonder about why you would want to limit yourself to one static version like Grandma and Grandpa did.
The same can be said of television - I'm meeting more "kids" these days (and by that I mean 20 somethings, ya young whippersnappers) who don't bother to own a TV, they just get all their programming online. And movies -- I don't know how it is near you, but one of the theatres in my town just closed up for lack of business. With high def and on demand and 50+inch screens at home it's too easy now to just wait for the movie to come to you.
Source(s):
Although I'm a computer geek I actually got my degree in the "Sociology of Technology". So, you know, exactly stuff like this. :)
| Asker's Rating: |
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Other Answers (4)
February 02, 2009 11:25 AM
Not in the near while because I would still prefer to take a newspaper inside the loo and won't replace it notebooks, netbooks, kindle.On a more serious note, we lack data to state that people have stopped subscribing to newspapers because they can read it online. Touch and feel??
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albanian
February 02, 2009 02:47 PM
But we do have data that newspaper circulation has been steadily dropping about 2 to 3% per year, while the costs of publishing go up with inflation. How long will the city dailies be able to stay in business?
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February 02, 2009 11:29 AM
i think at the moment newspapers may struggle a bit but in this economy we need all the jobs that we can manage to find for people. i think that after our country mexico and canada establish a common currency for the area, that around 2 or 3 years after that is when newspapers will become obsolete.
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February 02, 2009 02:44 PM
But will the market be big enough to cover the expense of publishing a daily paper? It looks like it is not.
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February 02, 2009 02:41 PM
"One day" covers a bit too much ground, that would be pure speculation. What is clear is that the traditional daily city newspaper is dying right now. All of them are suffering declining circulation and increased costs. That means they have to cut corners and as a result lose even more circulation. A nail in the coffin that you may not have known about is the revolt against telemarketing. Newspapers relied on hard sell telemarketing for more than half of their subscriptions but the no-call laws, cell phones, and general consumer revolt have cut that back. On the other hand there is good news for newspaper lovers too. There is a growing niche for quality national level newspapers. The New York Times, for instance, is increasing circulation as it is sold more widely around the country. Perhaps the internet is making people more aware of news in general beyond their locality and more interested in such papers. Another successful niche is the free, local weekly. Sponsored by local ad's and with a low budget to simply report on local events and entertainment, these papers have a bright future because people can't resist picking up something for free. Don't expect much real reporting from them though.
Source(s):
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/05/02/AR200505020...
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