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2 years, 9 months ago

How do meteorologists predict a hurricane's path?

For example, Bill in the Atlantic right now. From the line behind it, it's been going mainly west with a bit of north to it. But, the cone projecting out in front of it showing it's supposed future path has a hard curve north. How do they "know" it's going to do that?
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badaspie | 2 years, 9 months ago
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Hurricanes, and tropical cyclones in general, are steered by the larger-scale wind currents that surround them. These winds vary based on the strength and location of the various high- and low-pressure systems surrounding the storm. In the case of Hurricane Bill, the west-northwestward motion has been caused by a strong high-pressure area to the north. The clockwise winds around the high result in easterly winds on the south side, where Bill has been tracking for the past few days. The current forecast is for a trough of low pressure to approach from the west. The winds around a low in the Northern Hemisphere blow counterclockwise, and so the winds ahead of the trough will blow from the south. Bill is expected to feel the effects of this trough by moving more to the north, as indicated on the map. This behavior, called recurvature, is common in Atlantic hurricanes, since the high pressure over the Atlantic (the "Bermuda High") is a semipermanent feature during hurricane season and low-pressure troughs occur frequently.

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ocha | 2 years, 9 months ago
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You might want to check out this website. But it says the meteorologists get there information from hurricane hunters. Then they predict the way it will move. Its all pretty much a guessing game from what I understand.
http://www.windows.ucar.edu/tour/link=/earth/Atmosphere/hurricane/forecast.html&edu=high

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