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M$5 March 22, 2009 07:07 PM

Relationship between civil unrest (riots, protests, crime) and unemployment.

I'm looking for research, statistics and anecdotal evidence of the relationship between high unemployment and civil unrest, riots, protests, crime, suicide and unemployment.

I'm writing an essay on the topic and I'd like some data and information on the subject summarized for me into digestible nuggets. anything interesting including:

a) any research or studies of these issues (either showing or debunking the relationship)

b) the history of unemployment and civil unrest

c) recent stories of unrest (i.e. Greece has riots in December, China has protests now and France just had a major protest)

d) intelligent people who have addressed this issue before

Basically give me data points and stories to help me construct my arguments.

I'll give M$5 to up to five people based on how useful your answers are.

Really do a good job... and keep the research going/debate each other. I will reference this knowledge quest in my email essay.
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March 22, 2009 08:54 PM
One recent story of unrest is Argentina back in 2000-01. I don't have time to do lots of research but I did find this chronology of the crisis in a State Dept. website that shows the protests and riots in relation to what was happening in the economy.
http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/8040.pdf

Also, I found an overview of the Argentina crisis with bibliography http://ucatlas.ucsc.edu/sap/Argentina_crisis.php

I think your paper can benefit from looking at Latin American examples because in Latin America there is a clear relationship between economic crisis and political/social unrest. (As pointed out by one of my profs. in college).

Here I'm including sources about the debt crises in Latin America from an old course syllabus I have. Hopefully you can find them in a library or online. I hope his helps! Sorry I can't be of more help.

Sebastian Edwards, Crisis and Reform in Latin America: From Despair to Hope (New York: Oxford University Press, 1995), pp. 41-58.

Barbara Stallings, "International Influence on Economic Policy: Debt, Stabilization, and Structural Reform." In Stephan Haggard and Robert R. Kaufman, eds. The Politics of Economic Adjustment (Princeton University Press, 1992), pp. 41-88.

John Williamson, "What Washington Means by Policy Reform." In Williamson, ed. Latin American Adjustment: How Much Has Happened? (Institute of International Economics, 1990).

Weyland, Kurt, “Swallowing the Bitter Pill: Sources of Popular Support for Neoliberal Reform in Latin America.” Comparative Political Studies 31, No. 5 (October 1998).

Denise Dresser, “Bringing the Poor Back In: National Solidarity as a Strategy of Regime Legitimation,” In Wayne Cornelius, Ann Craig, and Jonathan Fox, eds. Transforming State-Society Relations in Mexico: The National Solidarity Strategy (Center for U.S.-Mexican Studies, 1994).

Moises Naim, “Latin America: The Second Stage of Reform.” Journal of Democracy 5, No. 4 (October 1994).

Evelyne Huber and Fred Solt, “Successes and Failures of Neoliberalism,” Latin American Research Review 39, No. 3 (2004), 150-163.

Kurt Weyland, “Threats to Latin America’s Market Model?” Political Science Quarterly 119, No. 2 (2004): 291-313.

Manuel Castells and Alejandro Portes, "World Underneath: The Origins, Dynamics, and Effects of the Informal Economy," In Portes, Castells, and Lauren Benton, eds. The Informal Economy (Johns Hopkins University Press, 1989), pp. 11-37.


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March 22, 2009 09:35 PM
Actually the unemployment rate was high since the '90s when a neo-liberal model lead to the destruction of the national industry, health and education system. The economical crisis of Argentina in 2001 was the result of years of a fake dolarized economy.
People from the upper-middle class exploded when the banks closed and kept all the money they had in fixed term deposits. Some lost all thir savings (but they still had jobs). Only then they went to protest. The rest was a mess of political backstabbing.
It was not about unemployment at all. I've been living in Buenos Aires for 30 years now and I've had my share of protests. This one was something else.

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March 22, 2009 11:32 PM
@nushka You're right. I don't know why I read the question as economic problems, instead of unemployment.

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March 23, 2009 02:10 AM
It got me thinking though.
The 2001 crisis was commonly associated with the "piqueteros" protests, They were mostly unemployed citizens demanding an improvement in the social plans (assintance for families) and fair distribution. But these are cases of people with several years out of work without much organized assistance but perhaps local political clientelism.
It still serves as an example of what not to do after years of growing unemployment.

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March 23, 2009 05:22 AM
Don't withhold the savings of those that are employed? :-) It was years of bad economic policy, corruption (can anyone say Carlos Menem) and all that economic mismanagement of course caused unemployment and whole other slew of problems.
I just think there's a little of everything.
But hey, I just thought of something that can help Jason's paper. Employed people are too busy to protest. You need a lot of unemployed or just plain unhappy people to get things going. :-)

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March 23, 2009 03:22 PM
I should have warned you that saying his name is bad luck, we just call him Mendez.
During his precidency, only the senior citizens and the students (and university professors) protested. We were already organized and had a clear idea of what we wanted (students wanted to study and senior citizens needed to pay their bills)
The unions didn't lift a finger.

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March 22, 2009 09:23 PM
The correlation between unemployment and civil unrest seems trivial.
The initial reaction towards a massive layoff appears to be an organized protest against the employer.
Daewo: http://www.indiacar.net/news/n1154.htm
Waterford Crystal at Kilbarry: http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/breaking-news/ireland/business/waterford-crystal-workers-vote-to-end-occupation-14238690.html

It is easy to find official statistical data regarding employment (http://www.ilo.org/stat/lang--en/index.htm
http://www.bls.gov/).
However, data regarding civil unrest is less organized.
There is an ananlysis of the link between the world food price crisis and the riots in wikipedia.
“The years 20072008 saw dramatic increases in world food prices, creating a global crisis and causing political and economical instability and social unrest in both poor and developed nations.”
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007%E2%80%932008_world_food_price_crisis

It may not be wrong to extrapolate the situation. The inability to obtain something so primordial as food could easily upset the people whatever the reason (high prices or lack of money to buy them).
I’ve found articles in the news that predict an uprise of civil unrest but it is hard to find their sources. http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2009/feb/18/recession-civil-unrest

However, the cases I’ve known of massive civil unrest (that ended with presidential resignations – Iceland 2009, Argentina 2001) were not caused by unemployment. Instead they were caused by massive frauds from banks and the inability of the government to protect the people.

On the other hand, there are cases of unemployed people organizing themselves to provide for each other (food, childcare, recovering factories). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recovered_factories

The form of protest may vary.
Some protest are spontaneous but they require that people are already present (at the closing of a factory or a bank). Other protest may seem spontaneous but these days it is very easy to organize them via e-mail or text messages.
Organized protests always have leaders that assume the responsibility of the convocatory.

Finally, there is a link between unemployment and mental health.
Scientists from Taiwan analysed the suicide rates in Asia after the economic crisis of 1997 and 1998. They found a positive correlation most closely associated with rises in unemployment. (Soc Sci Med. 2009 Feb 4. Chang SS, Gunnell D, Sterne JA, Lu TH, Cheng AT. Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; Ju Shan Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan.)

There are also studies about the consequences of retirement versus loss job. One of them was conducted at the Ohio State University (J Ment Health Policy Econ. 2008 Dec;11(4):167-76.) They found that involuntary job loss worsens mental health, and re-employment recaptures the past mental health status.

Iceland 2009. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Icelandic_financial_crisis_protests
Argentina 2001. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/December_2001_riots_in_Argentina

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