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January 07, 2009 09:40 PM

How long do you think it will be until at least 10% of owned home vehicles like cars, motorcycles, SUVs, minivans, etc are mostly non-gas powered?

Mostly non-gas powered means more than 50% of the vehicle's power comes from something other than gas or regenerated power which originally came from gas.

How long do you think it will be until at least 10% of owned home vehicles like cars, motorcycles, SUVs, minivans, etc are mostly non-gas powered?
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January 07, 2009 11:10 PM
I give it at least 10 years.

There are so many vehicles on the road that even if a few new models come out in the next few years that meet your criteria there won't be enough of them to hit that 10% figure.

The economy today has also left people either unable to afford a new car (and these new vehicles that are not gas powered will only be more expensive) and the people that can afford new cars are buying them right now while they can get great deals. This means that even the people with money will all have brand new cars and in no need of an upgrade in the near future.

Yep, 10 years at the very least.
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January 08, 2009 01:47 AM
You'd be surprise more then 35% of personal transportation is non-gas powered it just the perception we have of only seeing the mainstream market. By gas I take it that you mean tradition gasoline and not others such as bio-diesel, natural gas, hydrogen, full ethylene, electric,etc. This was a world study though it doesn't say if you where country specific. I read a article on it about 2 years ago I tried to find it online but couldn't but I'm pretty sure that the percentage has gone up. Sorry for no sources.

In most country I see this happen very soon due to their small roads and short trips. Which make electric cars and such more appealing to their consumer. For long trips they use services such as bullet trains, bus, long subway, etc

Where as in America you either take a flight, ride a bus, or in most cases just drive. And you really can't take an electric car cross country unless you plan on stop ever 200 miles or so. Until American realize that they don't have to drive every time they want to go so where. They hate carpooling, bus riding, and even airlines, therefor they must drive everywhere they go. And until they can create a non-gas vehicle that can go more then 2000 miles gas will remain dominate. OK no gas car gets 2000 miles on a tank sure but they can just stop an refill.

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